WeatherWheeler35 Posted May 6 Share Posted May 6 ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 061638 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Sat May 06 2023 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO... The previous outlook remains on track. No changes were made to the ongoing forecast. ..Marsh.. 05/06/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Sat May 06 2023/ ...Synopsis... In the mid-levels, broad troughing centered over the Rockies will continue to slowly weaken as southwesterly flow lingers over the High Plains. The moderate flow aloft, in conjunction with a modest lee low and trailing dryline, will aid in sustained downslope surface winds and stronger gusts through the afternoon. With warm temperatures and low humidity expected, critical fire-weather concerns should develop over portions of NM and CO. ...NM into portions of southeastern CO... Through the morning hours, mid-level flow of 30-40 kt should gradually begin to mix down to the surface as temperatures quickly warm. Aided by the west to east pressure gradient behind the lee low and trailing dryline, southwesterly surface winds of 15-25 mph should develop by midday. Poor overnight humidity recoveries are expected to continue with afternoon RH values of 7-15% expected owing to warm temperatures and the well-mixed air mass. Elevated and critical fire-weather conditions appear likely over dry fuels. The most likely corridor for sustained critical conditions is over portions of central and eastern NM, into far southern CO, where the strongest winds and lowest RH overlap through much of the afternoon. Some fire-weather threat may extend farther eastward into portions of the OK/TX Panhandles, immediately behind the trailing dryline. However, precipitation within the last several days has likely tempered fuels such that fire-weather concerns should remain more localized, despite favorable meteorological conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.