weather center Weather discussion from the WX weather app

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  SPC AC 141958
  Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK  0258 PM CDT Sun May 14 2023
  Valid 142000Z - 151200Z
  ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MID  MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
  ...SUMMARY...  Thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and hail are  possible later this afternoon into this evening across parts of the  mid Mississippi Valley.
  ...20Z Update...  The Marginal Risk area has been trimmed from the south and expanded  slightly eastward, based on the progression of an arc of convection  associated with a compact cyclone moving across east TX. Otherwise,  no changes have been made to the severe probabilities. Scattered  strong to potentially severe thunderstorms remain possible across  parts of the mid MS Valley into this evening, with a threat of  locally damaging wind gusts and isolated hail. A more isolated  severe threat remains evident across northeast TX, and from eastern  KS into western MO. See MCD 792, MCD 793, MCD 794, and the previous  outlook discussion below for more information.
  ..Dean.. 05/14/2023
  .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Sun May 14 2023/
  ...Mid-Mississippi Valley including Missouri/Illinois...  Thunderstorms are expected to develop/increase this afternoon  initially across northern/eastern Missouri near a weak surface low  and a southeastward-extending front, with additional/more isolated  warm sector development across eastern Kansas and central/southern  Missouri. Over time, storms should build southeastward along the  low-level theta-e/CAPE axis into southern Illinois. Winds aloft are  only modestly strong. Nevertheless, the combination of a moist and  moderately unstable airmass and linear forcing mechanisms along the  front may be sufficient for a few bowing structures posing a risk of  locally damaging winds and hail.
  ...East Texas...  Within a moist environment, a belt of moderately strong  low/mid-level southerly winds will tend to persist and shift  north-northeastward today on the eastern periphery of a weak low.  Weak mid-level lapse rates along with cloud cover and existing  precipitation will tend to limit overall destabilization, but a few  stronger storms capable of water-loaded downbursts could materialize  this afternoon across eastern Texas.
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  NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z